Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 35.152877 41.678870 48.868562 57.348418 67.046237 77.759869 90.459259
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 26.277703 35.084010 45.754977 59.508924 76.624878 97.072738 123.182224
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.549794 30.153886 42.690627 59.977023 82.875937 111.820856 150.770427
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.965220 25.495855 38.781640 58.199110 85.315061 121.230910 171.670004
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.212355 22.739316 36.803495 58.408120 89.945679 133.363216 196.496838
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.287768 20.803237 35.597039 59.349834 95.392739 146.692856 223.533623
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.695608 17.289363 31.429569 55.239640 92.884080 148.363318 234.053400
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.696636 16.267768 31.021743 56.809163 98.894118 162.589558 263.278768
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.515785 14.689888 29.439130 56.226888 101.377448 171.566185 285.117621
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.157792 14.601212 30.402058 59.953795 110.992123 191.939953 325.169878
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.932316 12.545003 27.523467 56.674492 108.695093 193.429580 336.095424
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.464153 11.985397 27.360611 58.193765 114.572580 208.229564 368.562633
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.067939 11.601115 27.664583 60.948212 123.430063 229.435788 414.151483
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.660025 11.122018 27.747668 63.372077 132.060374 251.097312 462.231091
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.153091 10.274529 26.916219 63.881386 137.204398 267.142268 501.918222
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.564244 9.049428 25.040258 62.007018 137.649562 274.990876 528.152420
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.203716 8.348176 24.228428 62.227743 142.075288 290.059302 567.458089
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.938078 7.848622 23.806994 63.221446 148.065149 308.247323 613.065605
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.469676 6.554313 21.163619 58.883451 142.840077 305.431005 621.253940
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.322958 6.284929 21.125576 60.540262 150.135315 326.423024 673.242848
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.114853 5.722617 20.188572 59.925649 152.530797 338.172519 708.875351
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.077569 5.799820 21.066570 63.858674 165.069322 370.209734 783.451520
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.835123 4.957169 19.103383 60.398116 160.990045 369.374025 796.456718